Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRO
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 2
S04
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 2
AJA
19%
21%
60%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2014 |
AJA
0 - 4
VIT
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
AJA
3 - 1
UTR
68%
20%
13%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FEY
3 - 1
TWE
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
FEY
23%
24%
52%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
PSV
4 - 3
FEY
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
FEY
2 - 2
AZA
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
SDL
0 - 3
FEY
38%
24%
37%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |