Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2014 |
GAL
2 - 1
AJA
35%
24%
41%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
15%
20%
66%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
IJS
0 - 3
AJA
11%
18%
70%
|
89 | 56 | 33 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
BVO
1 - 2
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
UTR
2 - 5
FEY
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
FEY
3 - 0
ZWO
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
FEY
28%
24%
48%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FEY
1 - 0
GRO
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 2
FEY
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |