Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
DZG
0 - 2
AJA
33%
24%
43%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 2
AZA
60%
21%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GRO
1 - 0
AJA
15%
20%
66%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
RMA
3 - 0
AJA
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 1
TWE
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FEY
4 - 0
VVV
80%
15%
6%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FEY
0 - 3
ADO
57%
23%
21%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
AZA
2 - 1
FEY
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
FEY
4 - 0
APE
76%
16%
9%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FEY
4 - 0
GRA
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |