Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
AJA
0 - 1
ACM
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
AJA
3 - 1
SCH
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ADO
1 - 4
AJA
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2003 |
CEL
3 - 2
AJA
47%
25%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
AJA
3 - 2
AZA
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
TEP
1 - 1
FEY
27%
25%
48%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
FEY
3 - 0
VIT
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
VOL
1 - 3
FEY
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
FEY
0 - 2
TEP
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
GRO
3 - 3
FEY
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |