Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
BVO
0 - 3
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1999 |
MVV
2 - 6
AJA
14%
20%
67%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
AJA
3 - 2
SCH
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 3
FEY
59%
20%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
NAC
2 - 2
AJA
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
FEY
3 - 1
SCH
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
FEY
4 - 0
BVO
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1999 |
BOS
0 - 4
FEY
30%
25%
45%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 3
FEY
59%
20%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
FEY
2 - 1
VIT
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |