Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1997 |
AJA
1 - 0
UDI
68%
19%
14%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1997 |
AJA
1 - 0
NAC
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
WIL
0 - 1
AJA
21%
23%
57%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1997 |
AJA
9 - 1
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
SCH
0 - 1
AJA
27%
24%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1997 |
MUD
2 - 1
FEY
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1997 |
WIL
2 - 0
FEY
20%
24%
56%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1997 |
FEY
2 - 1
MVV
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
FEY
2 - 1
NAC
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1997 |
FEY
2 - 0
KOS
85%
10%
5%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |