Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1997 |
GRA
0 - 2
AJA
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
AJA
0 - 2
PSV
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1996 |
GCZ
0 - 1
AJA
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
AJA
1 - 1
GRO
80%
13%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1997 |
VOL
0 - 2
FEY
18%
24%
58%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
NEC
1 - 2
FEY
12%
22%
65%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1996 |
FEY
1 - 0
RJC
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
GRA
0 - 4
FEY
21%
24%
55%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1996 |
FEY
2 - 4
CDT
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |