Ajax vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
AJA
6 - 0
RJC
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
FEY
1 - 0
AJA
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 3
AJA
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
FEN
1 - 0
AJA
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
ANK
0 - 1
FEN
24%
25%
52%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FEN
1 - 1
GAL
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
FEN
1 - 0
AJA
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
KAY
0 - 1
FEN
25%
25%
50%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FEN
2 - 2
AKB
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | +1 |