Ajax vs PEC Zwolle analysis

Ajax PEC Zwolle
89 ELO 79
2.6% Tilt 30.2%
102º General ELO ranking 414º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
67.4%
Ajax
18.9%
Draw
13.6%
PEC Zwolle

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
Ajax
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.6%
Win probability
PEC Zwolle
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+4%
+8%
PEC Zwolle

Points and table prediction

Ajax
Their league position
PEC Zwolle
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
41
10º
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSV
79
79
100%
Ajax
78
78
100%
Feyenoord
68
68
100%
Utrecht
64
64
100%
AZ Alkmaar
57
57
100%
Twente
54
54
100%
Go Ahead Eagles
51
51
100%
NEC Nijmegen
43
43
0%
Heerenveen
43
43
0%
PEC Zwolle
10º
41
41
10º
0%
Fortuna Sittard
11º
41
41
11º
0%
Sparta Rotterdam
12º
39
39
12º
0%
Groningen
13º
39
39
13º
0%
Heracles
14º
38
38
14º
100%
NAC Breda
15º
33
33
15º
100%
Willem II
16º
26
26
16º
100%
RKC Waalwijk
17º
25
25
17º
100%
Almere City
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
100% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ajax
PEC Zwolle
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 2024
TWE
Twente
2 - 2
Ajax
AJA
37%
24%
39%
89 89 0 0
07 Nov. 2024
AJA
Ajax
5 - 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
MTA
67%
19%
14%
89 81 8 0
02 Nov. 2024
AJA
Ajax
3 - 2
PSV
PSV
40%
24%
36%
89 89 0 0
30 Oct. 2024
FEY
Feyenoord
0 - 2
Ajax
AJA
39%
24%
38%
89 89 0 0
27 Oct. 2024
AJA
Ajax
1 - 0
Willem II
WIL
62%
21%
18%
89 83 6 0

Matches

PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2024
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
3 - 1
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
44%
26%
30%
79 80 1 0
03 Nov. 2024
GAE
Go Ahead Eagles
2 - 2
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
51%
24%
25%
80 83 3 -1
29 Oct. 2024
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
4 - 3
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
56%
22%
22%
80 85 5 0
26 Oct. 2024
PSV
PSV
6 - 0
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
70%
18%
12%
80 89 9 0
20 Oct. 2024
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
1 - 2
NAC Breda
NAC
50%
24%
26%
80 75 5 0