Ajax vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability

2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.6%
Win probability

0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

+4%
+8%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
9º
2º
41
10º
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table | Final expectations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
![]() |
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
![]() |
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
![]() |
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
![]() |
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
![]() |
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
![]() |
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
![]() |
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
![]() |
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
![]() |
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
![]() |
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
![]() |
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
![]() |
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
0% | |
![]() |
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
0% | |
![]() |
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
![]() |
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
![]() |
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
![]() |
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
![]() |
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% |
Expected probabilities | ||
---|---|---|
![]() |
![]() |
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 Nov. 2024 |
TWE
![]() 2 - 2
![]() AJA
37%
24%
39%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
07 Nov. 2024 |
AJA
![]() 5 - 0
![]() MTA
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
02 Nov. 2024 |
AJA
![]() 3 - 2
![]() PSV
40%
24%
36%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
30 Oct. 2024 |
FEY
![]() 0 - 2
![]() AJA
39%
24%
38%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
27 Oct. 2024 |
AJA
![]() 1 - 0
![]() WIL
62%
21%
18%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
09 Nov. 2024 |
ZWO
![]() 3 - 1
![]() FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
03 Nov. 2024 |
GAE
![]() 2 - 2
![]() ZWO
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
29 Oct. 2024 |
NEC
![]() 4 - 3
![]() ZWO
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
26 Oct. 2024 |
PSV
![]() 6 - 0
![]() ZWO
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
20 Oct. 2024 |
ZWO
![]() 1 - 2
![]() NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |