Ajax vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
VVV
0 - 2
AJA
21%
23%
56%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
RBK
3 - 2
AJA
45%
24%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 1
GRO
76%
16%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
AJA
0 - 1
RBK
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
HER
2 - 1
AJA
18%
23%
60%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
SCH
2 - 0
ZWO
46%
24%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
ZWO
2 - 0
TWE
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 1
ZWO
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
ZWO
4 - 2
RJC
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ZWO
4 - 0
BVO
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |