Ajax vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
APO
1 - 1
AJA
27%
23%
50%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 5
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
JOS
0 - 9
AJA
8%
16%
76%
|
87 | 41 | 46 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FEY
0 - 1
AJA
34%
24%
42%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 1
PSG
28%
24%
48%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ZWO
4 - 2
HER
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ZWO
3 - 2
FCO
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
AZA
1 - 0
ZWO
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ZWO
3 - 1
PSV
23%
24%
54%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 1
ZWO
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -2 |