Ajax vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
TWE
0 - 2
AJA
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 3
AZA
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 1
ADO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
STB
2 - 0
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
RKC
0 - 2
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ZWO
2 - 0
WIL
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
ZWO
0 - 3
PSV
15%
20%
65%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 0
ZWO
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ZWO
3 - 2
FEY
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ZWO
1 - 1
TWE
25%
25%
51%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |