Ajax vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
GRO
1 - 3
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
VIT
1 - 2
AJA
33%
26%
41%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
AJA
3 - 1
UTR
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
AJA
3 - 1
PSV
46%
22%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
UTR
2 - 3
AJA
36%
24%
40%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
ZWO
1 - 0
VIT
39%
25%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
ZWO
1 - 1
EXC
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2002 |
RBC
1 - 1
ZWO
32%
24%
44%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2002 |
EIN
4 - 2
ZWO
19%
22%
60%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2002 |
ZWO
1 - 0
EXC
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |