Ajax vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.1%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
3.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1981 |
AJA
1 - 1
FEY
62%
19%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1981 |
WIL
1 - 7
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
AJA
1 - 0
UTR
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
AJA
4 - 1
FEY
64%
19%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1981 |
TWE
2 - 0
ZWO
84%
11%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
ZWO
3 - 1
GRA
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
ZWO
3 - 0
RJC
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
GAE
3 - 3
ZWO
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1981 |
ZWO
0 - 3
UTR
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |