Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 1
VIT
71%
17%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
ROM
1 - 1
AJA
44%
23%
34%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
RKC
0 - 1
AJA
5%
13%
83%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 2
ROM
51%
22%
27%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 2
AJA
10%
17%
73%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
UTR
1 - 2
FEY
32%
24%
44%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ADO
1 - 4
UTR
9%
18%
73%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 1
UTR
19%
22%
59%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
UTR
1 - 3
VIT
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
RKC
1 - 2
UTR
10%
18%
73%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |