Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2014 |
AJA
4 - 0
APO
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
AJA
5 - 0
WIL
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ADO
1 - 1
AJA
20%
22%
59%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
PSG
3 - 1
AJA
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
AJA
4 - 1
SCH
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
UTR
2 - 4
HER
56%
23%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 5
UTR
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
UTR
1 - 3
BVO
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 2
UTR
38%
26%
37%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
UTR
3 - 1
VIT
28%
24%
48%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +2 |