Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 1
ACM
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
AJA
6 - 0
GAE
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
AJA
4 - 2
VOL
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PSV
4 - 0
AJA
46%
23%
32%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
FCB
4 - 0
AJA
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
UTR
3 - 3
RJC
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
UTR
4 - 1
BOS
73%
18%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FEY
1 - 0
UTR
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
UTR
2 - 1
RKC
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ZWO
1 - 1
UTR
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |