Ajax vs Utrecht analysis

Ajax Utrecht
88 ELO 77
6.8% Tilt 25.8%
103º General ELO ranking 110º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
77.5%
Ajax
15%
Draw
7.5%
Utrecht

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
Ajax
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.5%
Win probability
Utrecht
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+4%
-3%
Utrecht

ELO progression

Ajax
Utrecht
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2012
AJA
Ajax
1 - 4
Real Madrid
RMA
11%
18%
71%
89 97 8 0
29 Sep. 2012
AJA
Ajax
1 - 0
Twente
TWE
55%
22%
23%
88 87 1 +1
26 Sep. 2012
UTR
Utrecht
0 - 3
Ajax
AJA
18%
21%
61%
88 78 10 0
23 Sep. 2012
ADO
ADO Den Haag
1 - 1
Ajax
AJA
13%
19%
68%
88 70 18 0
18 Sep. 2012
BVB
B. Dortmund
1 - 0
Ajax
AJA
47%
24%
29%
89 91 2 -1

Matches

Utrecht
Utrecht
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2012
UTR
Utrecht
1 - 2
Vitesse
VIT
49%
24%
27%
77 76 1 0
26 Sep. 2012
UTR
Utrecht
0 - 3
Ajax
AJA
18%
21%
61%
78 88 10 -1
21 Sep. 2012
RJC
Roda JC
0 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
42%
27%
31%
78 71 7 0
16 Sep. 2012
UTR
Utrecht
1 - 0
PSV
PSV
20%
23%
57%
77 88 11 +1
01 Sep. 2012
NAC
NAC Breda
1 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
39%
28%
33%
77 71 6 0