Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 4
RMA
11%
18%
71%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 0
TWE
55%
22%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
UTR
0 - 3
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ADO
1 - 1
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
BVB
1 - 0
AJA
47%
24%
29%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
UTR
1 - 2
VIT
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
UTR
0 - 3
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
RJC
0 - 1
UTR
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
UTR
1 - 0
PSV
20%
23%
57%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 1
UTR
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |