Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
FEY
4 - 2
AJA
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
34%
24%
42%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 3
AZA
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 0
86%
11%
4%
|
89 | 56 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 0
ADO
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 0
UTR
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
UTR
1 - 1
PSV
22%
24%
55%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
GRO
1 - 0
UTR
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
UTR
2 - 2
FEY
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
UTR
2 - 6
TWE
23%
24%
53%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |