Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
FEY
2 - 2
AJA
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
BOR
1 - 4
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
AJA
1 - 0
RJC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 1
AJA
17%
21%
63%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
AJA
0 - 0
TWE
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
UTR
1 - 0
WIL
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
GRO
2 - 0
UTR
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
UTR
1 - 5
PSV
25%
27%
48%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
GRO
3 - 1
UTR
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
UTR
2 - 2
GRO
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |