Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
NEC
2 - 2
AJA
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 0
RJC
70%
18%
11%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2006 |
VIT
4 - 2
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 3
AJA
17%
21%
61%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2006 |
ZUL
0 - 3
AJA
10%
15%
75%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 0
UTR
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
UTR
0 - 0
HER
63%
21%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2006 |
RKC
1 - 1
UTR
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
UTR
2 - 1
FEY
19%
22%
59%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
NEC
2 - 0
UTR
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |