Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
TWE
2 - 3
AJA
22%
24%
54%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 1
NEC
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2005 |
SCH
4 - 2
AJA
30%
24%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2005 |
AJA
3 - 2
GRO
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2005 |
EIN
1 - 6
AJA
13%
20%
67%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
UTR
2 - 2
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
ADO
2 - 3
UTR
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2005 |
RBC
1 - 2
UTR
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
UTR
1 - 1
SPA
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
HER
1 - 1
UTR
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |