Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
10.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
AJA
6 - 2
NAC
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
TWE
2 - 3
AJA
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
AJA
2 - 4
UTR
80%
13%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
WIL
2 - 5
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
AJA
2 - 0
NAC
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
UTR
5 - 1
RBC
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
NAC
3 - 2
UTR
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
AJA
2 - 4
UTR
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
TWE
0 - 1
UTR
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
VIT
3 - 0
UTR
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |