Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
AJA
3 - 1
PSV
46%
22%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
UTR
2 - 3
AJA
36%
24%
40%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
NEC
0 - 2
AJA
22%
25%
54%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 0
BOS
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 0
UTR
72%
16%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2002 |
UTR
2 - 3
AJA
36%
24%
40%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
UTR
0 - 0
NAC
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
TWE
2 - 0
UTR
35%
26%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2002 |
UTR
3 - 2
AZA
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 0
UTR
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |