Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 4
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
AJA
3 - 0
PSV
50%
23%
27%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
AJA
4 - 3
GRO
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
VIT
3 - 1
AJA
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
55%
22%
23%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
RKC
1 - 2
UTR
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
UTR
3 - 1
BOS
69%
18%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
JON
2 - 3
UTR
21%
23%
56%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
GRA
0 - 0
UTR
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
UTR
3 - 0
FOR
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |