Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1995 |
MVV
0 - 3
AJA
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1995 |
AJA
5 - 2
BYM
62%
20%
18%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
GRO
2 - 4
AJA
23%
25%
53%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
AJA
7 - 0
WIL
80%
13%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1995 |
BYM
0 - 0
AJA
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1995 |
UTR
2 - 4
RJC
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
VOL
0 - 1
UTR
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1995 |
UTR
1 - 4
VIT
27%
29%
44%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
PSV
4 - 0
UTR
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
UTR
0 - 0
RKC
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |