Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1992 |
KAI
0 - 1
AJA
41%
26%
33%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1992 |
AJA
0 - 1
TWE
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
GRO
0 - 3
AJA
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1992 |
AJA
2 - 0
KAI
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1992 |
AJA
0 - 0
WIL
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
RKC
2 - 4
UTR
52%
26%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
UTR
1 - 1
BVO
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
FCD
0 - 2
UTR
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
UTR
2 - 1
RJC
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1992 |
VOL
2 - 2
UTR
46%
28%
27%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |