Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.8%
Win probability
3.78
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.6%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.9%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.5%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.3%
2.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
FEY
3 - 1
AJA
38%
24%
38%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
AJA
5 - 0
GAE
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1986 |
RJC
2 - 1
AJA
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
AJA
1 - 0
GRO
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
49%
23%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
UTR
1 - 0
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
BOS
1 - 1
UTR
56%
23%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1986 |
UTR
0 - 0
HFC
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
UTR
0 - 0
GAE
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1986 |
AZA
4 - 1
UTR
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |