Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.2%
Win probability
3.69
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.2%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.7%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.2%
3.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1984 |
AJA
1 - 0
FOR
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
GRO
2 - 2
AJA
28%
23%
49%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
AJA
1 - 0
BOH
94%
4%
2%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1984 |
AJA
4 - 3
HFC
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
AJA
7 - 2
GAE
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
UTR
4 - 1
EXC
66%
20%
15%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1984 |
GRO
3 - 0
UTR
67%
19%
15%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
SPA
1 - 0
UTR
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
UTR
0 - 1
MVV
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
TWE
0 - 2
UTR
61%
22%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |