Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
4.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
WIL
0 - 3
AJA
15%
21%
64%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
AJA
2 - 0
AZA
60%
19%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
25%
22%
53%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
AJA
3 - 0
ZWO
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
PSV
4 - 0
AJA
47%
23%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
UTR
3 - 1
GAE
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
FOR
1 - 2
UTR
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
UTR
2 - 1
HEL
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
FEY
4 - 1
UTR
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
UTR
1 - 1
GRO
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |