Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
5.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
GAE
2 - 2
AJA
19%
26%
55%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
AJA
0 - 1
FEY
57%
20%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
RJC
0 - 1
AJA
25%
25%
51%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
AJA
2 - 4
AMS
86%
10%
5%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
TWE
1 - 3
AJA
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
UTR
3 - 2
GRA
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
AZA
5 - 0
UTR
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
UTR
3 - 0
HFC
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
UTR
0 - 0
PSV
22%
24%
54%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
GAE
1 - 1
UTR
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |