Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.4%
Win probability
4.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.1%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
2.5%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
7.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
4.1%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
6%
6-2
2.1%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.3%
7%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
7%
4.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
3-6
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
TEL
0 - 1
AJA
18%
26%
56%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1973 |
BYM
2 - 1
AJA
80%
12%
8%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1973 |
AJA
4 - 0
NAC
89%
7%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
GRO
0 - 2
AJA
15%
26%
59%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1973 |
AJA
4 - 0
BYM
61%
19%
20%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
UTR
1 - 1
HFC
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
TEL
0 - 1
UTR
39%
24%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
UTR
2 - 0
AZA
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
0 - 3
UTR
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
UTR
1 - 1
MVV
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |