Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.4%
Win probability
3.97
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.6%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.3%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7.7%
4.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1972 |
SLB
0 - 0
AJA
64%
19%
17%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1972 |
FEY
1 - 5
AJA
51%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
AJA
8 - 0
MVV
88%
9%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1972 |
AJA
1 - 0
SLB
69%
17%
14%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1972 |
GAE
3 - 2
AJA
26%
27%
46%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
UTR
6 - 3
BOS
74%
17%
10%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
VOL
3 - 1
UTR
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1972 |
UTR
1 - 1
TEL
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
VIT
1 - 0
UTR
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1972 |
FEY
0 - 0
UTR
79%
12%
9%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |