Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
RJC
2 - 4
AJA
11%
20%
69%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 1
NAC
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
UTR
0 - 0
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 0
FEY
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
AJA
5 - 1
LYN
68%
19%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
TWE
0 - 4
AZA
17%
21%
62%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SCH
1 - 0
TWE
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
TWE
3 - 1
BVO
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
TWE
0 - 2
PSV
11%
17%
72%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
RJC
1 - 1
TWE
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |