Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 2
AJA
28%
25%
46%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 2
UTR
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BVO
0 - 1
AJA
14%
22%
64%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AJA
3 - 0
ZWO
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PSV
0 - 2
AJA
44%
25%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
TWE
2 - 0
EXC
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 1
TWE
23%
24%
53%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TWE
0 - 1
FEY
33%
25%
41%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 3
TWE
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TWE
2 - 2
AZA
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |