Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
NOO
1 - 3
AJA
9%
16%
75%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PSV
2 - 2
AJA
41%
24%
35%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
AJA
0 - 0
LYO
49%
24%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
HER
2 - 3
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 1
VIT
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ZWA
1 - 8
TWE
2%
12%
86%
|
89 | 38 | 51 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TWE
5 - 2
ADO
72%
18%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
FUL
1 - 1
TWE
44%
26%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
RJC
2 - 1
TWE
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
TWE
4 - 1
VVV
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |