Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 1
PAO
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 1
CHL
30%
26%
44%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
FCP
1 - 0
AJA
39%
24%
37%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
FEY
1 - 4
AJA
27%
23%
50%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
NEC
1 - 4
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
TWE
1 - 2
GET
47%
27%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2010 |
DEP
1 - 1
TWE
41%
28%
32%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
STU
2 - 1
TWE
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
ONA
0 - 1
TWE
5%
15%
81%
|
87 | 11 | 76 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2010 |
FCE
1 - 2
TWE
17%
24%
59%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |