Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
19%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
AJA
4 - 0
RJC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
24%
22%
54%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 2
NEC
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 0
AZA
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 1
AJA
18%
20%
62%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
TWE
2 - 0
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
TWE
2 - 0
RJC
70%
19%
11%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 4
TWE
22%
25%
53%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
GRO
0 - 0
TWE
27%
27%
46%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
UTR
0 - 0
TWE
28%
26%
47%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |