Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
SPA
4 - 0
AJA
15%
20%
66%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 1
AZA
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
PSV
6 - 2
AJA
35%
25%
40%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
AJA
7 - 0
WIL
79%
15%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
64%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
TWE
3 - 0
AZA
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 1
TWE
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
TWE
3 - 1
NAC
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
FEY
1 - 0
TWE
41%
26%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
TWE
4 - 2
RJC
70%
20%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |