Ajax vs Twente analysis

Ajax Twente
89 ELO 85
11.3% Tilt 31.4%
103º General ELO ranking 115º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
63.7%
Ajax
20.6%
Draw
15.8%
Twente

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
Ajax
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.8%
Win probability
Twente
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+3%
-6%
Twente

ELO progression

Ajax
Twente
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2009
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
4 - 0
Ajax
AJA
15%
20%
66%
88 64 24 0
26 Apr. 2009
AJA
Ajax
1 - 1
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
60%
21%
19%
88 85 3 0
19 Apr. 2009
PSV
PSV
6 - 2
Ajax
AJA
35%
25%
40%
88 87 1 0
12 Apr. 2009
AJA
Ajax
7 - 0
Willem II
WIL
79%
15%
6%
88 65 23 0
05 Apr. 2009
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 2
Ajax
AJA
16%
21%
64%
88 70 18 0

Matches

Twente
Twente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2009
TWE
Twente
3 - 0
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
42%
25%
33%
84 85 1 0
25 Apr. 2009
SCH
Heerenveen
1 - 1
Twente
TWE
53%
23%
24%
84 82 2 0
21 Apr. 2009
TWE
Twente
3 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
66%
20%
14%
84 73 11 0
18 Apr. 2009
FEY
Feyenoord
1 - 0
Twente
TWE
41%
26%
34%
84 80 4 0
11 Apr. 2009
TWE
Twente
4 - 2
Roda JC
RJC
70%
20%
11%
84 70 14 0