Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 1
AJA
14%
19%
68%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
WIL
2 - 3
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
AJA
1 - 3
NAC
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
AJA
4 - 1
VIT
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
FEY
2 - 2
AJA
33%
24%
42%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
SCH
1 - 2
TWE
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
TWE
1 - 1
VVV
68%
19%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
VIT
2 - 2
TWE
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
TWE
2 - 1
AZA
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 1
TWE
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |