Eredivisie Play Offs Champions League Final
Global 1-2
Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
26%
24%
50%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2008 |
AJA
3 - 1
SCH
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
SCH
1 - 2
AJA
32%
24%
45%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
AJA
5 - 1
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 2
AJA
18%
22%
61%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
26%
24%
50%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 5
TWE
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2008 |
TWE
3 - 0
NAC
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
TWE
2 - 0
WIL
69%
20%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
PSV
1 - 1
TWE
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |