Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
AJA
0 - 1
PSV
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 0
ADO
79%
15%
6%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
HER
0 - 3
AJA
15%
21%
65%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2006 |
AJA
3 - 0
AUS
75%
17%
8%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 2
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
TWE
7 - 1
GRO
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
TWE
3 - 1
NEC
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
UTR
0 - 0
TWE
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
TWE
4 - 0
NEC
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2006 |
FEY
2 - 1
TWE
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |