Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2002 |
VCF
1 - 1
AJA
60%
23%
18%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
SCH
0 - 3
AJA
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
AJA
6 - 0
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 2
INT
42%
23%
36%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
RJC
1 - 1
AJA
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
TWE
1 - 0
VIT
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
ZWO
1 - 1
TWE
51%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
NEC
1 - 2
TWE
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
TWE
0 - 0
PSV
20%
24%
56%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
AZA
1 - 2
TWE
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |