Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 3
PSV
45%
23%
32%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 3
NAC
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 1
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
AJA
0 - 1
FCK
73%
17%
11%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
AJA
4 - 1
WIL
74%
16%
11%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
TWE
0 - 0
SCH
39%
26%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
BOS
1 - 3
TWE
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
UTR
1 - 1
TWE
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
TWE
4 - 2
GCZ
31%
25%
45%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
TWE
0 - 0
VIT
33%
27%
41%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |