Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
SPA
0 - 5
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1997 |
UDI
2 - 1
AJA
43%
25%
33%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1997 |
RJC
1 - 1
AJA
31%
25%
45%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1997 |
AJA
4 - 0
FEY
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1997 |
AJA
1 - 0
UDI
68%
19%
14%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1997 |
TWE
0 - 0
AGF
51%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1997 |
TWE
1 - 1
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1997 |
TWE
1 - 2
RJC
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1997 |
AGF
1 - 1
TWE
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
TWE
1 - 1
GRA
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |