Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
GRO
0 - 3
AJA
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1992 |
AJA
2 - 0
KAI
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1992 |
AJA
0 - 0
WIL
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1992 |
FEY
0 - 3
AJA
30%
26%
44%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
AJA
2 - 2
MVV
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
TWE
1 - 1
BVO
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1992 |
RKC
2 - 1
TWE
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1992 |
TWE
4 - 0
RJC
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
VOL
1 - 1
TWE
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1992 |
TWE
1 - 2
PSV
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |