Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
AJA
3 - 0
NEC
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
VIT
1 - 1
AJA
24%
22%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1989 |
RJC
1 - 1
AJA
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
AJA
1 - 0
WIL
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
BOS
0 - 1
AJA
13%
23%
65%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
TWE
2 - 1
NEC
72%
19%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
RJC
2 - 0
TWE
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1989 |
TWE
2 - 0
WIL
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
TWE
4 - 1
BOS
59%
24%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1989 |
GRO
5 - 0
TWE
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |