Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.6%
Win probability
3.8
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.6%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.9%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.5%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.4%
2.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1986 |
NEC
0 - 0
AJA
11%
20%
70%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
FOR
1 - 4
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
AJA
4 - 1
BOS
92%
5%
2%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
VVV
1 - 4
AJA
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
HFC
1 - 2
AJA
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1986 |
TWE
3 - 1
FOR
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
BOS
2 - 1
TWE
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
TWE
0 - 0
HFC
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
GRO
5 - 1
TWE
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1986 |
TWE
1 - 0
VVV
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |