Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.4%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.6%
3.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1985 |
HFC
1 - 0
AJA
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1985 |
UTR
0 - 1
AJA
22%
23%
56%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
AJA
1 - 3
GRO
87%
8%
4%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1985 |
AJA
2 - 2
BOS
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
GAE
0 - 2
AJA
23%
23%
55%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1985 |
FOR
2 - 0
TWE
42%
26%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1985 |
PSV
2 - 2
TWE
79%
13%
7%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
TWE
3 - 0
VOL
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1985 |
TWE
1 - 6
SPA
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
RJC
5 - 1
TWE
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |