Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1980 |
MVV
1 - 1
AJA
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
SPA
4 - 3
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
AJA
2 - 1
BYM
56%
21%
23%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1980 |
AJA
2 - 0
NEC
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
ZWO
2 - 0
AJA
16%
19%
65%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1980 |
ZWO
0 - 0
TWE
20%
23%
56%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1980 |
TWE
6 - 1
NEC
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
SGD
0 - 0
TWE
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1980 |
TWE
1 - 1
AZA
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
ADO
1 - 0
TWE
25%
27%
49%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |